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Rent vs Buy · Updated June 2026

Rent vs buy in Seattle

Seattle in 2026: a typical centre apartment costs about $723,000 to buy ($8,500/m²) or $2,500/month to rent. With 20% down at 6.3%, the mortgage runs $3,580/month – but the true owner cost is $5,712/month once property tax (0.84%), maintenance, insurance, and HOA fees are added. On our 10-year model, renting and investing the difference wins for the entire period modeled.

The price-to-rent ratio tells the structural story: Seattle's ratio of 24 is high – markets above ~22 historically favour renters who invest the difference. A renter who invests the $3,212/month difference plus the $144,600 down payment at 7% builds $781,735 over 10 years versus the buyer's $460,612.

Rent vs buy calculator · 2026

Verdict at your horizon

Mortgage P&I
Owner all-in /mo
Cash needed upfront
PMI
Buyer net worth
Renter net worth
Interest paid by then
Price-to-rent ratio

Net worth year by year

Buying Renting + investing

Renter invests the down payment + closing costs + monthly difference at your chosen return. PMI of 0.55%/yr is added automatically while the down payment is under 20% and equity is below 20%. Price-to-rent under ~15 usually favors buying; over ~20 favors renting.

Key insights

Key insights

  • Typical buy $723,000 vs rent $2,500/mo – price-to-rent ratio 24.
  • All-in owner cost: $5,712/mo vs $2,500 rent.
  • 10-year outcome: buyer $460,612 vs renter $781,735.
  • No breakeven within 10 years at 6.3% – renting wins this window.
  • Income check: owner cost wants ≥ $17,309/mo net income.
Net worth: buying vs renting in Seattle (2026 model)
YearBuyer net worthRenter net worth (invested)Buying advantage
1$124,238$212,716-$88,478
3$188,568$314,157-$125,589
5$258,405$428,350-$169,945
7$334,266$557,046-$222,780
10$460,612$781,735-$321,123

The Seattle numbers under the model

Inputs (2026, adjustable in the calculator): purchase $723,000, 20% down, 6.3% 30-year fixed, rent $2,500/month growing 3%/year, home appreciation 3.5%/year, market return 7%/year, 0.84% property tax, 1% maintenance, ~7% selling costs at exit. The buyer's wealth lives in equity (principal + appreciation minus exit costs); the renter's lives in the invested down payment and monthly differences compounding.

Early years punish buyers everywhere: at 6.3%, roughly 85% of the first year's payments is pure interest, while ~3% buying costs and ~7% future selling costs must amortise before equity wins. That's why short horizons (under 8 years here) favour renting in Seattle regardless of headlines.

What flips the answer

Rate sensitivity: at 4.8% the breakeven moves into buying territory; at 7.3% renting wins even longer. Down-payment opportunity cost matters just as much – if your alternative to buying is cash at 2%, not stocks at 7%, buying improves sharply.

Stability is the unpriced variable: owners are insulated from Seattle's rent growth ($2,500 today is $3,360 in 10 years at 3%) but pay dearly to move early. The honest rule for Seattle: buy when your horizon comfortably exceeds 10 years and the payment fits under 33% of net income – $17,309/month of take-home for this scenario.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Is it better to rent or buy in Seattle right now?

On 2026 numbers ($723,000 purchase, $2,500 rent, 6.3% rates), renting and investing the difference wins for the entire period modeled. Horizons shorter than that favour renting; longer ones favour buying – run your own inputs above.

How much do I need to buy in Seattle?

For a typical $723,000 purchase: $144,600 down (20%) plus ~3% closing costs ≈ $166,290 cash, and an all-in carrying cost of $5,712/month – comfortably supported by $17,309+/month of net income.

What is the price-to-rent ratio in Seattle?

About 24 ($723,000 ÷ $30,000 annual rent). Above ~22 renting+investing historically wins; below ~16 buying does; between is horizon-dependent.

Does the model include all ownership costs?

Yes: mortgage at 6.3%, 0.84% property tax, 1%/year maintenance, insurance, $350/month HOA, ~3% buying and ~7% selling costs – the lines most "rent is throwing money away" arguments skip.

What if rates fall?

Each 1-point rate drop cuts the payment ~$368/month on this purchase and pulls breakeven earlier. Buying at high rates with a refinance option has asymmetric upside – but never underwrite the purchase on the refi you might get.

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